Abilene Paradox - Why Do We Say Yes When We Mean No
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The Abilene Paradox - the Bandwagon Effect
Why do we often say Yes when we really want to say No? It is a paradox that Jerry Harvey explored in his book, "The Abilene Paradox." The following is a synopsis of that paradox and why I believe it exists.
Picture a hot and humid Sunday on a July afternoon in the small town of Coleman, Texas. The temperature is 104 degrees - in the shade. A mother, father, their married daughter and son-in-law are sitting on the outdoor porch playing dominoes.
The father suddenly exclaims, "Why don't we all get in the car and drive to Abilene and have dinner in the cafeteria there?" The son-kn-law thinks to himself, "Abilene? That's 53 miles away in this dust and heat and the car air conditioner isn't working as it should."
But his wife, the daughter, chimes in, "That sounds like a great idea. How about you, dear?" she asks her husband. Since his preferences are obviously out of step with the others, he slowly responds, "Sounds OK to me, but does your mother want to go?" He is hoping she will say No. The mother-in-l.aw replies, "Why not, I haven't been to Abilene in a long time."
So they all pile into the old Buick and off they go to Abilene. It is brutally hot, the wind is blowing stifling hot air full of dust and the air conditioning is faulty. They arrive in Abilene after an hour and a half uncomfortable ride.
The cafeteria food is filling but nothing to write home about. Three hours and 106 hot miles later, the family is back in Coleman, sweating and exhausted.
The son-in-law says, sarcastically, "Great trip, wasn't it?"
His mother-in-law replies, “To tell you the truth, I really didn’t enjoy it that much and would have liked to stay home. I just went along because the three of you were so enthusiastic about going. You all pressured me into it.”
The son-in-law couldn’t believe what he heard. “What do you mean, ‘you all?’ I didn’t want to go; I only went to satisfy the rest of you.”
His wife looked shocked. “Hey, I just went along to keep the rest of you happy. You three were the ones who wanted to go.”
Then her
father entered the conversation. “Well, I never really wanted to go to
Abilene. I just thought you all might
want to go; that you were bored just playing dominoes here. I would have preferred to stay home and eat
the leftovers in the icebox.” (outdated term for refrigerator).
They all sat back in silence. Here they were, four reasonably sensible, intelligent people, who of their own volition had just taken a 106-mile trip across a godforsaken desert in furnace-like heat and a dust storm to eat unpalatable food at a hole in the wall cafeteria in Abilene, and none of them had really wanted to go in the first place. In fact, they had done the opposite of what they really wanted to do.
The Abilene Paradox involves the "management of agreement."
The above example took place in a family. But organizations occasionally take these terminal journeys to Abilene, too. The tendency for groups or teams to embark on excursions that no team member really wants is called the Abilene Paradox. The team members take actions in contradiction to what they really want to do and therefore defeat the very purposes they are trying to achieve.
Organizational theorists believe that managing conflict is one of the greatest challenges faced by any organization, but the Abilene Paradox states that the major source of dysfunction is the inability to manage agreement.
Here is a typical example in a business situation. The president of a small industrial company hires a consultant to help discover the reasons for the poor profits of the company, and the low morale and productivity of the employees. The consultant talks to the President, the VP for Research and Development, and the Research Manager privately and separately. Each one describes a sizable research project as an idea that looked great on paper but will ultimately fail for a number of reasons. Each individual also indicates that he has not told the others about his reservations.
The President tells the consultant that he can’t reveal his true feelings because abandoning this widely publicized project would make the company look bad in the press. The VP for Research says he can’t let the others know of his reservations because he would probably get fired for insubordination if he questioned the project. The Research Manager says he can’t let the President or the VP know of his doubts because of their extreme commitment to the project.
In meetings with each other, they all try to maintain an optimistic facade so the others won’t be worried by the project. The Research Manager even goes so far as to write ambiguous progress reports so the President and VP can interpret them to suit themselves. In a subsequent meeting, praises are heaped on the project and a unanimous decision is made to continue it for another year. The organization has boarded the bus to Abilene.
Succinctly, the Abilene Paradox is stated as follows: Organizations frequently take actions in contradiction to the data they have for dealing with problems, and as a result, compound their problems rather than solving them. Why?
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First Reason - Action Anxiety
Members of an organization take actions in contradiction to their understanding of the problem because thinking about acting in accordance with what they believe needs to be done makes them intensely anxious. As a result of action anxiety, decision makers may decide to pursue unworkable research projects or participate in illegal activities to avoid such anxiety. Why does this action anxiety occur?
Because of the next three reasons:
Second reason - Negative Fantasies
Team members have negative fantasies about what would happen if they act in accordance with what they believe needs to be done. They foresee loss of face, prestige, position, etc. if they confront the issues. Action anxiety may be caused by negative fantasies that members have about acting in accordance with their understanding of what is sensible. They also provide a psychological excuse that releases them from the responsibility of having to act.
Third reason - Real Risk
We do not know nor can we predict the outcomes of the actions we undertake. All actions have consequences and they may be worse than the evils of the present. Decision makers may decide to take their organization to Abilene rather than run the risk of ending up somewhere even worse.
Fourth reason - Fear of Separation
Ostracism is one of the most powerful punishments that can be devised. We have a fundamental need to be connected, engaged, related and not to be separated nor alone. The fear of taking risks that may result in our separation from others is at the core of the Abilene Paradox. It leads research committees to fund projects that none of its members want, and may lead White House staff members to engage in illegal activities (think Watergate) that they don’t really individually support.
Those who want to be effective leaders would do well to remember these two insightful quotes:
"Management is doing things right; leadership is doing the right things." - Peter Drucker
"Management is efficiency in climbing the ladder of success; leadership determines whether the ladder is leaning against the right wall." - Stephen Covey
And I must add my own personal caveat: " When humor goes, there goes civilization." - Erma Bombeck
Copyright BJ Rakow Ph.D. 2010, 2011. All rights reserved Author, Much of What You Know about Job Search Just Ain't So.
Readers of my book say it enabled them to write a dynamic resume and cover letter, network effectively, interview professionally, and negotiate assertively. Includes a must-read chapter for older workers.
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I learned something new today - had not heard of the Abilene Paradox as an explanation of why we are swayed at times. As I was reading, I remembered the times I have said "no", and how I had to deal with the discomfort of resistance from others because I said "no".
Enjoyed reading!
This explains a lot. I'm reminded immediately of the teen years when 'something' is offered at a party and although perhaps no one really want to partake, they do because of this principle. You are absolutely correct when you talk about ostracism. I find it interesting to see how the media manipulates public opinion using this principle. Excellent article and I learned a lot. Thank you.
Verrry interesting. Yeah, it really goes back to being a kid, and not wanting to be left out. Kind of like a collective thinking (almost like animals), where one person may not consider partaking in some dangerous or illegal activity on their own, but finds more security in doing so in concert with others.
Excellent hub drbj.
Thanks DRBJ, always enjoy your hubs because trually insightful and original stuff.
An interesting look at human behavior; all of which results from not being honest. Isn't that it? How often do we see ourselves as self-sacrificing, giving up our own desires for the happiness of others, instead of voicing our honest feelings -- the short road to Abilene. Thanks for this thought provoking read. Lynda
Yorkshire (UK) people, who have a great tradition in sayings, say 'there's now't queerer than folk'. But I detect a bit of the herding instinct in this.
drbj - You can see a current case of this "Abilene Paradox" in action right now - the Lt. Col. flight surgeon who is refusing to go to "Abilene" (Afghanistan) because he doesn't believe his leader has shown himself to be qualified to be his leader - and he is being tried by the military for his refusal to go. The armed forces are full of smaller, but still important examples of the paradox, and there are many men and women who have died because of it. It has given rise to the question, "Do you know who is the most dangerous person in the army?" The answer is, "A second lieutenant with a compass."
Gus :-)))
drbj, This is a really interesting, well-written hub and I think it happens everywhere, whether in business, homes, churches, etc. I think many are just people pleasers and don't want to make any waves. It would be a better world if people would be considerate, polite and just tell the truth about how they feel. Communication works much better that way.
This is an interesting concept I understand it but never heard it called the Abilene Paradox before. Its funny I used to live in Abilene for 15 years as my ex was stationed at the Air Force Base there and never heard of it but I know that it is extremely hot there lol. Interesting hub. Cheers.
Very useful information about the Abilene Paradox and group-think. Dangerous things in any organisation.
Love and peace
Tony
..definitely food for thought - you feed my brain and inspire me to write what I write and the way I write ......and I am very much inspired by you - in the way YOU write and what YOU write!
touche drbj touche! lol Cheers
I love the points that you outlined. Perhaps the most powerful reason is the fourth one. Fear of separation. Thank you for the hub, drbj.
I have learned over the years to try and go with that gut feeling you have about something because it is so easy to get sucked into something just because we can't say no. What is it about our society that makes us this wishy washy?
I never can understand that and it does bring to mind many things my crazy grandmother was famous for saying....'So if everyone went to the top of the building and jumped off would you think this was a good idea?' That kinda sounded really stupid because I bet if they jumped first, I'd see that they splattered and maybe, just maybe I wouldn't jump...then again, knowing me, I probably would because I wouldn't want to lose face...literally I would though!
Very interesting though about what we do to 'keep the peace' at all costs. I think I'm gonna go do something totally off the wall and see if I can get someone else to do it - just as a test. Sure...see ya back in about a week!
Amen, Amen, you know if people follow peace, if you don't have peace about saying YES, just say NO! No needs no explanation, a simple single NO! Love Love LOVE this hub Why do we say yes when we mean no! Other peoples opinions of me are none of my business so to say NO is something I value as much as my freedom. Great hub!
Good arguments. I was just thinking, perhaps we had more people guilty of the Abilene Paradox syndrome during apartheid in SA, than them being guilty of being just plain horrible people. I am so glad those days are in the past! We all have breathing space now.
It is just a pity that this paradox situation is replaced by "jumping the gravy train syndrome" by some of the new leaders. Guess that will sort itself out in due time as well.
I'll keep my eye fixed on your wall for the promised article on how to say no. Most woman, have a servitude attitude, because we must be carers and nuturers of the family structure. This can become an abused position. Your help will be appreciated.
(akirchner- please just don't jump from that roof- we love you too much!)lol
Thanx for the link to " Dealing with difficult people" on top. I have a situation at present, and I need that desperately in my life a.s.a.p., so I'm off to read it now.....
I think many people make decisions out of their heads when their insides may be screaming a different answer. Listening on the inside to our yes and no and not overriding it is very important. I believe that we are a lot happier living from the inside out.
You wrote "That reminds me - perhaps I'll do a hub on various strategies for saying no ... and surviving"
I would love to read this! It IS uncomfortable saying "no," and sometimes I hesitate because it involves bringing up the defenses of the individual (s). Thank goodness, it happenes rarely.
I agree, there is a distinction between assertiveness and aggresiveness. This is a topic I have been trying to impress on a loved one, and friends.
I have been on that danged bus to Abilene far too many times, drbj! Be they family matters or business, the trips are deadly and dreadful. It's a pity that the paradox will probably be the victor in most cases, however this hub is brilliant in it's clarity-unless you happened to 'agree' to write this per your computer's wishes-assumed, of course...:)
Wonderful read!
...man oh man - if I had as many followers (loyal) as you I would be the Pope!!!!
Trully excellent Hub. People so often travel to "Abilene". At the end, trip is always too stressful for everybody involved and real goal is not achieved.
I would also consider the 5th reason for traveling to Abilene - lack of imagination from group members. Instead of using their own imagination, life-experience and logic, members of the team often prefer to obey the leader who just cannot know everything.
Great article, thank you very much for writting it.
DrBJ, excellent! This explains so much about human behavior, and why almost everyone seems to be embroiled in situations they despise, and yet they believe that it can't be helped.
What do you think about letting off steam, otherwise known as venting. I think that's when people complain about the trip to Abilene, but when you call them on it, they say: "No, I really liked the trip. I understand why we had to go. I was just venting."
I always ADORE your hubs on human behavior, doc. This is so interesting and makes so much sense! It's also reassuring to know it's OK to disagree with those in authority and to always speak your mind whatever you perceive as be a negative consequence. The truth us usually the right answer after all :)
lovely hub!!!
Very interesting hub. Fear of separation is very strong for all of us. To belong and be like other humans is what we are told from birth, and to interact well with others is importent everywhere. It takes strength to disagree!
Excellent hub! My first thought as I read it is how many times my teacher husband has shared that no one wants such and such programs in school-- yet they just keep getting funded. It is for the very reasons stated here. Everyone knows that the ideas come from someone much higher up and everyone wants to keep their job, sooooo...no one tells the powers that be, this program really sucks and we need to come up with a different plan. Go figure. They all go to Abilene in a broken down car :)
In college I majored in Psychology and business, but I never heard of this paradox so it was extremely interesting to learn about it. It reminds me of "group think" a similar phenomena in which people make stuppid decisions based on whatever other people are doing or saying- it spreads like a disease basically. My former position in the field of business, this happened all the time. I'd rather be a risk taker and leader for sure. Great hub!!
Great Article about Abilene Paradox thanks for sharing hub page community
Very interesting article and I've seen the results many times. There have been times when I've been on that same bus.
Concerning that idiot Lt. Col., who's being court-maritaled. Yes, his career is toast as it should be.
Moron 'birther.' Obama was born in Hawaii so he does qualify to be President in spite of all the lies by myriad Xians in spite of their 'Commandment' against bearing false witness.
The military is a different 'breed of cat.' A lot of freedoms are restricted when you enlist whether as officer or enlisted. The man flat violated his military oath as well as violated 'good order and discipline.'
I'm sure he raised objections which were addressed with the fact of the matter. That he didn't accept the facts is his personal problem and wasn't a problem until he flat refused direct orders.
That said, there are avenues one can take to try to stay off the bus-in other situations.
If there is interest I can write something up on it. There would be background information as well as what I suspect a large difference is. Personality, also comes into play. Can there be direct consequences, if you do it right? Sure, but they'll be along the lines you've set and is what you wanted in the first place.
I'm a newbie here and am getting familiar which how this vast site operates. Kick an email my way whether such is of interest, or not.
I probably can come up with some other non-standard items, too which may be of some use.
Kind Regards
I remember reading about this in high school...It was particularly interesting to me because I was living in Abilene, Texas at the time. After living in Arizona, I think the story doesn't give Abilene a fair shake. It is a nice place to visit.
Anyhoo, turning off our brains and leaving the decision-making to others is indeed a dangerous practice that often leads to unintended consequences. How many times do we find ourselves on the bus to Abilene because we were too busy or lazy to give an issue our full attention, or because we just didn't want to take responsibility for getting off the bus and exerting an opinion? That is all too common especially in the workplace where people don't want to jeapordize their own employment positions. Great ideas and I'm looking forward to reading more in your series!
For quite some time I have been reading your insightful comments and finally decided to give one of your hubs a try. I do like the way you write and plan to start following you.
While I tend to be a rebel, I certainly have seen the Jump-on-the-bandwagon effect. You do a great job analyzing the reasons.
Hi! drbj
Very interesting article drbj. Abeline paradox is interesting.
It is good to know such concepts in hard core words. It helps one to decide things at right time. I remember in my university days I learnt about Peter's principle ("every person rises to his level of incapacity" is roughly what it says). It helped a lot to be careful about it.
But it is important to learn not to get carried away also. For example I was wondering about this case of Army officer being discussed in comments. I was wondering what is right? After all army takes people expecting them to keep ready and follow orders at the time of emergency - use all their training and all the drive to remain in discipline even if it involves risk with one's life. It pays them for this and almost doing nothing for years.
When the actual time comes obviously a person will not feel like taking such a risk and at that time all such principles, paradoxes one will remember to avoid what one is expected to do.
On the other hand it is true that some thing is missing in top decision making in USA (or is it result of some thing like corruption which should not have been there but is there ?) otherwise why will it fight a war in af-pak sector on both sides and finance and arm the very people, who are involved in or supporting groups, who are killing its own soldiers. One should surely expect a soldier will have in mind, why should I get into such a mud being created.
Either way if a decision in excitement a person takes, he will make mistakes and he may not get what he thinks will come for being bold.
So opposite paradox might be equally true. The things which one may feel most exciting may be quite boring and may bring turmoil or inefficiency.
One has to balance out both and then see the light and act on it. A discussion with a person who is bold enough to tell you opposite side of what you feel always helps.
I wrote and published a hub. I suppose there's no problem with presenting the link?
Hope it is of some use to folks. Best thing I can do is present what happened. I figure folks can pull what they need from it.
Wow, you certainly impressed your followers and me. I used to be like not saying no but now after a great shock wave, I just stand by myself. Thank you for a very interesting and thought provoking hub.
That it does pay off. One guy that worked for me indicated he wanted to become an officer. He worked his butt off and maxed out annual performance reports-and I could back up the ratings.
As an aside, years later he did become an officer. He remembered where I transferred to and later, in a military school, he ran into an officer from my base. Finding out I was still at the base he asked word be passed to me that he did make officer. I'm glad he made it.
What else I didn't indicate, as it had no bearing on things, was being in the wrong place at wrong time almost killed me.
Afterwards, the folks who worked for me, were helping me rebuild my electronics knowledge. Such wasn't in their job description. Said incident ended up getting me medically retired about seven years later, but it was seven years longer I got 'paid to play.'
The people who work for you will make you look bad, or good.
In my instance, my vocation/talent turned from a positive to a negative based on the retirement.
Of course, there's much I'm leaving out as it is immaterial here. It would fit with 'Ripley's' and Stephen King would have a field day with my medical records. No, I'm still a laid back person with a very odd-ball sense of humour. Everything is 'grist for the humour mill,' and that includes my limitations.
In the meantime, I 'keep on truck'n.' :)
I learned of the "Abilene Paradox" many years ago. One would think that, in the corporate environment, that awareness would kill the concept but no it very much alive and well today. The paradox will always be protected by the concept of "self-survival" whichs implies that I had rather survive than to do the right thing and resist. Of course, in the corporate world as in the public world, we have labels we assign people who resist these days. We say they are "not a team player", they "have no vision", they "have a negative attitude", and they "are not willing to change". These cards get played quickly just like the race card or the political correctness card does in public situations. Too often corporate leaders are willing to trade the "proper image" for the "right thing" and that sets the tone for the employee who is left to go along or get along. Thanks for a good write and a good review! WB
As I've aged, I've learned to say "no." enjoyed the read!
love this, I should really say "no this isn't great..." just to not abe a part of teh crowd, but I can't because this is really great!
Fear of separation and fear of not being the same and one in the group and to hurt others feelings as well. Drbj, you made me think again, I am brainless today hehe, Good job as always, Maita
Excellent hub my dear dear friend, I think we have all fallen into this trap, I do like to please and I say yes more then I should. I really do mean no...this is a great hub, and a unique subject matter that fits us all. rate up love and hugs, darski
Does this too fall under the category of peer pressure? Only in the adult world? Or something like it?
I really like your Hubs, they make you think!!
drjb - you've given me a lot to think about. A very interesting concept. Such thinking creates an environment in which nothing constructive ever really gets done, and creative solutions do not come about. It also makes me think of the 'good Germans' in the 1930's, they just went along because cooperation was so highly prized.
Great hub on the Abilene paradox - humans really like sheep and so easily led I have written a few different hubs on this and this fits perfectly in with the reactance one - I will link to it also the conspiracy of conspiracy theories. Awesome rate UP!
..I must come back to this particular hub and say there is no paradox here with your grand writing style - you have plenty of panache and wit and style. I am always learning something new from you as you make me think openly and clearly - and when you can make the epigramman think then are you definitely hitting the mark big time!!!! lol lol
p.s. - that is quite a cult I have in my comment section with all that poetry flowing back and forward - lol lol
Because we want to please other people, sometimes we get swayed and do what we really don't want to do. This happens to me a lot, sometimes I just feel irritated that I have to endure something for other people's enjoyment!whew, that's life I guess.
Your definition of Albilene Paradox “take action in contradiction to the data they have” sounds like US Congress to me. They may have studied that at the Fokk University and so they are now Fokk-ing the rest of us with unmatched expertise.
The great explanation you gave this phenomenon (which I have never heard about) is more than obvious on Hub Pages comments. The general mentality is to get on the same boat with the majority since the popular wisdom is “they can’t be all wrong”. I have seen it more than once and we will see it again; most people are just “devoted followers” and will never dream to go against the current. Being devoted to banality and common platitudes may be in line with the Albilene Paradox, but will never make anyone a great indipendent thinker or a person I would follow to the end of the world
I am delighted to hear that this typical human behavior has a name. The Abilene Paradox – it fell perfectly on my tongue. I can very much relate to this issue. Fortunately I am always the devil’s advocate and never willing to go with the stream created by those cowards who are not real leaders, but gutless parasites who like living in the shades of the real leaders. If I sound a bit aggressive, forgive me, for this superb hub of yours refreshed some of my bad memories. It is quite unbearable to watch some members of important committees paralyzed with the Abilene Paradox. Oh, I love this new word in my vocabulary. Thanks! This was truly a great read. Bookmarked, shared and voted UP and UP.
Thank you for a truly insightful article. It is true that many decisions are made as a result of fear rather than integrity and honesty. I admit to falling for this trap myself. If only people had the will to act according to their beliefs.
I came back to read this a second time! Another thought: the fear of job loss is strong with people boarding the bus to Abilene. I am thinking of someone who has a family to support...does this make middle-aged workers with families less viable employees, because they have more to lose and less to gain by striking out against the crowd? What are your thoughts?
I only came here to read this hub because you said i must before i could continue reading your hub today.I must say,"This is a tricky way to plug a hub", but again,i must say that i learned some interesting facts.I'm not going to confess which type i am, but i tend to say what i think. lol
Cheers
The fear of disapproval, is often one of the most serious of handicaps for someone who needs to make decisions.
It was said of Nicholas II of Russia that his opinions on any matter always coincided with those of the last person he spoke to about it.
That kind of indecision cost him his empire. We should always be our own person.
Wow. I have never heard of this, but I certainly have experienced it. I grew up in a very cultish church. There were rules and regulations that hurt so many people. One day the leader of the church died. The new leader said the first leader had been wrong. All of the sudden people felt that it was OK to disagree, and we found out that the majority of people had just "gone along" with what they were told (at times even to the point that their loved ones died from lack of medical care) simply because they were afraid they might anger the ministry (and therefore God) by dissenting.
The change in people once we were told the ministry was not infallible was amazing. It was as if people had woken from a spell.
I know this is an extreme example, but it was what I thought about as I read your informative hub. To my, this explains why so many of us were afraid to stand up and say something. Amazing.
Interesting information on the Abilene paradox - just look at how many people stay in relationships because they don't really know how to talk about how they really feel. I know a couple of people who went to end a relationship and ended up married!
Hi drbj, A great Hub pointing out a lot of things that seem to happen in situations everyday.
Cheers. Michael.
Why do we say yes when we mean no, is a fascinating topic. I find myself doing it at times too. But when I say 'yes' this is a great hub, I mean YES! Rated up and awesome.


























































suziecat7 Level 5 Commenter 21 months ago
Interesting. I believe people can be easily swayed. Now I know why.